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Rose Bowl lessons learned - sports betting
I shouldn't really make fun of people getting caught up in emotions. After all, they are the ones who help make sports betting profitable. Still, I had to chuckle at some of the reactions of Rx posters.
I have mentioned many times to beware of what television can do to impair your judgment. The worst thing it does is let winning and losing color people's opinions. NFL personnel experts don't fall for the hype, but it seems like run-of-the-mill bettors do.
The most amazing comments were about Reggie Bush. The Heisman winner generated 174 yards in total offense, including a scintillating touchdown run. It was the highlight of a game where he averaged 6.3 yards per carry. Still, people are posting he won't do anything in the NFL. Even funnier, the talking heads of ABC/ESPN commented how Bush wasn't much of a factor in the game. Was that solely because he tried a bonehead play which almost turned into highlight reel material.
Let's move onto Matt Leinart. He threw for 365 yards and was almost unstoppable in the second half of the biggest game of the year. Just as he has in so many games, he made many big plays when it mattered most. He has two losses in three seasons and two national titles. Yet, people want to talk about his attitude after the game.
No one can say at this point if Leinart or Bush will end up big successes in the NFL. However, both recorded good performances against the sixth-ranked defense in college football in the biggest game of the year. How can people find such faults and truly believe this game hurt their draft positions.
Moving on to the guys whose stock moved up, Vince Young came out best. Winning big games is without a doubt a nice quality, but how can ESPN pundit Lee Corso call him the best college quarterback ever? It might have been one of the best performances in a big game, but it still was typical of how people let emotions take over moments after a game ends.
Now people are mentioning he could be the No.1 pick in the draft. Did he really pass other worthy players because of one game? Most importantly, do his skills translate to the pro game where quarterbacks rarely run the quarterback draw and don't easily out-run defenders.
LenDale White also saw his stock rise from this game. The scouts have said he would make a decent professional player, but not a spectacular one. Watching this game made him look good, but one must remember USC has a near-NFL quality offensive line blocking college opponents. He may not get such an advantage in the NFL.
While none of this may influence your future bets, let it be a lesson to reflect on how most people react to what they see in big games. While winning the big game can make you a superstar, it means little from a betting perspective. Bets won on a preseason game are just as profitable as bets won on the Rose Bowl. Keep yourself on an even keel by making it a point not to make snap judgments either during or right after a game.
Most people will simmer down by April's draft, when NFL people will be making decisions based on years of performances and assessments of pure athletic ability, not just takeaways from this one game. It seems simple enough, but if Young were to return to play for Texas next year, how many times do you think bettors will back them just remembering what happened in this one game? Your goal should be to avoid doing just that.
Source: BonusGambler.com Editors' Choice
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